This top page is to transmit the proof that I am still alive and enjoying retired life, mainly to my relatives, friends and former students. A story or an event is selected from daily life and my thoughts and experience are introduced.
From Daily Life - 95: Seijo: Its population composition
Half a century has passed since I began living in Seijo, a town in Setagaya
ward of Tokyo. Recently, I came across a table showing the population by
age group in a newsletter published by Seijo Residents' Association. The
data on the table sparked my interest in the town's demographic makeup.
Seijo is a typical suburban residential area, renowned in Tokyo alongside
Den-enchōfu. It spans from block 1 to block 9. The central area, home to
many long-standing large estates, may differ significantly in resident
profile from the peripheral area, where apartment complexes and condominiums
are scattered.
The Setagaya Ward Office publishes population data broken down by gender
and age for each block of towns in the ward. Using the data as of January
2026, I set out to explore the characteristics of Seijo's population composition.
Seijo’s total population is approximately 23,000, comprising 46% men and
54% women. A bar chart showing the age distribution is displayed above.
Although I tried to glean specific insights about Seijo from this figure,
I found few distinctive features. The trend of women living longer becomes
pronounced after age 80, and the number of children aged 15 and under continues
to decline, raising concerns about the future. These are phenomena likely
occurring everywhere. However, the population valley seen in the age group
around 30 stands out; this indicates that the outflow of this group far
exceeds the inflow. This may well be the area's most significant demographic
characteristic.
Delving deeper, I investigated whether population composition varies by specific block within Seijo. Block 5 retains the most of the town's old-world atmosphere, with many large estates still standing. In contrast, block 8, where I live, is located about a 15-minute walk north of the station, and lies outside the zone subject to strict building height restrictions. Many high-rise apartments and condominiums in this block raise population density significantly. The difference in the density is reflected to the population: 1,999 residents in block 5 versus 3,777 in block 8. To facilitate a comparison, I converted the figures to a per-1,000-resident basis and plotted the demographic composition of two blocks on the line graph shown below.

In demographic statistics, smaller populations exhibit greater year-to-year
fluctuations, making it difficult to discern significant differences amidst
such variability. Trying to identify underlying trends in fluctuations,
it appears that the aging of the population is slightly more advanced in
block 8, while no difference is observed regarding the decline in the birth
rate. The population valley around the age of 30 is clearly deeper in block
8; this suggests a higher population mobility within this age group in
newly developed areas. Regarding the elderly population, it was surprising
to find a larger number of seniors in the newly developed area compared
to the area with an older streetscape.
Beyond mere statistical interest, the data reveals a great deal. Among
the 1,675 men living in my block 8, I discovered that there are eleven
individuals older than myself at 95 with the eldest being 101. This represents
merely 0.6% of the male population. It starkly illustrates the reality
that living a long life and having little time left are one and the same.
After finishing the data analysis so far, I realized that to better understand the unique characteristics of Seijo, I needed to compare it with other administrative units. For this comparison, I selected Japan itself and Koto Ward, a waterfront area that stands in stark contrast to the upland character of Seijo. The population composition of three units per 1,000 residents is illustrated in the line graph below.

A look at the data highlights the distinctive characteristics of Koto
Ward. There is a significant influx of migrants who start self-standing
in their twenties, resulting in a rapid growth of population. In contrast,
Seijo experiences a sharp outflow of the same age group, creating a population
valley that is deeper than anywhere else. Presumably, the high cost of
housing in Seijo discourages young migrants from settling there.
Seijo shows a population peak among those around the age of sixty, an
age corresponding to peak earning years. This substantial high-income age
group drives the wealthiness of the town. While Koto Ward lags behind in
terms of population aging, the trend for Seijo is slightly less than the
national average. The decline in the birthrate is a serious issue across
the nation.
I embarked on this study with great enthusiasm. Though findings were less than expected, I learned quite a lot on demography. Irregular fluctuations that obscure analysis tend to smooth out as the population size of the target area increases. When the scope is limited to the domestic Japanese population, changes due to migration do not occur unless inhabitants cross national borders. Line graphs showing age-based population composition become smoother and allow to identify specific peak and valley caused by wars, baby booms, or Hinoe-uma (an ominous year of superstition). Underlying trends like the declining birthrate and aging population also become clearly visible. Demographic studies focusing on small groups like the one I undertook here are rare, likely because irregular fluctuations can undermine the persuasiveness of the findings.
Local governments accurately track their populations and regularly publish
the data. Why not take a look at the population histogram for your own
town or village and discover its unique characteristics?
Note: Imagine an isolated island with no migration in or out, where every
woman gives birth to one boy and one girl at a set age, and every person
lives to a fixed age without succumbing to accidents or disease. In this
scenario, the island's population graph would form a rectangle, perfectly
flat across the top before dropping sharply at the end. The complex variations
in actual population composition arise entirely from deviations from these
hypothetical conditions regarding birth, death, and migration.
→ Past Top Pages
"From Daily Life"
1: Tracing family roots
2: The second last car
3: August 15. my memorial day
4: Battlefield rations
5: Begginer at the gym
6: Fuji View Hotel
7: Lesson in Hiragana writing by brush
8: Moving from old to new smartphone
9: Living alone in my second year
10: Welcomed by cherry blossom
11: Eden of peach blossom
12: Tama River Walk
13: Chichibu Pilgrimage
14: Bonds with local community
15: About my homepage
16: Annual report of athletic gym
17: Pilgrimage to Mt. Tsukuba
18: Reunion of alumni and classmates
19: Braking by left foot
20: Battlefield rations in the sequel
21: Granddaughter has come!
22: Visit to Kobayashi Residence
23: Wake-up exercise
24: Digital photo album
25: Seven tools for brushing teeth
26: Ambulance
27: Quick report on drive monitoring
28: Hearing aid
29: Jindai Botanical Park
30: 2020, a historic year
31: Topics of eye
32: Final report on drive monitoring
33: Cognitive ability test
34: PCI to prevent heart infarction
35: Ashikaga Flower Park
36: 90 years old supported by medication
37: 3 years with Subaru
38: 45 years living in Seijo
39: Caspian Sea yogurt
40: Home Museum of Aunt Zschäbitz
41: Reunion of university classmates
42: Okutama spar tour
43: New Year's greeting card
44: Implant
45: Fuchu Forest Park
46: Grave closing
47: Walking group of local community
48: How-to books for the elderly
49: Home altar
50: Such a life
51: Knee of the elderly
52: Metropolitan Kinuta Park
53: Shirakaba Art Museum of Kiyoharu
54: Haiku; Metasequoia
55: Three years with COVID-19
56: Battlefield rations in the 6th year
57: Hearing impairment
58: Shinjuku Station
59: Haiku with photograph
60: Moving to 5G smartphone
61: History of private cars
62: Setagaya Art Museum
63: FreeCell
64: Turbo
65: Hinata Temple of Yakushi
66: Moving of home computer
67: Amakusa tour
68: Hand craft as a hobby
69: Kitami Community Square
70: Photo-Haiku 2
71: Support scam abusing Trojan Horse
72: Bedside gym
73: Metropolitan Nogawa Park
74: Family funeral
75: Sudoku (Number Place)
76: Photo-Haiku 3
77: Ohyama Afri Shrine
78: Kunisaki Peninsula tour
79: The old school system is far away
80: Cooking group of local community
81: Motor fan group of local community
82: Directories disappear!
83: Tunnel ventilation
84: Hearing aid renewal
85: Photo-Haiku 4
86: Digital records of life
87: 80 years after the ceasefire
88: Diagnosis of walking ability
89: Tracing back in time
90: Tour around castles and potteries
91: Asset management
92: Email - Part 1
93: Email - Part 2
94: Fukushima accident and hydrogen explosion
95: Photo-Haiku 5
"Memorable Scenes"
Series 1: Parade with Doctor hat on the head
Series 2: Calligraphy in a frame
Series 3: A young man from the Orient
Series 4: Sumo-stamping
Series 5: Waiting room of Shanghai Station
Series 6: Let's Walk Festival
Series 7: Last long-distance drive
Series 8: My Car No. 3
Series 9: Ski camp
Series 10: Safari experience
Series 11: First encounter with dogwood
Series 12: Mt. Fuji
"Treasure Box of Words"
Series 1: Virtue brings profit
Series 2: Wait for a ripe moment
Series 3: Catch the symptoms
Series 4: Words are selected metaphors
Series 5: Start with two humans
Series 6: Optimism is a will, pessimism a mood
Series 7: Atop a summit, and another becomes visible
Series 8: We see only what we want to see
Series 9: Chanllenge is the privilage of the young
Series 10: Today is the first day of my life
Engineer Series 1: Who's engineer, juveniles' answer
Series 2: Corus of "We raise engineers!"
Series 3: From Nobel Prize to Gold Medal
Series 4: Professionals in three categories
Series 5: Various tasks in engineering
Series 6: Classification of EPs by IEA
Series 7: Science, technology and related professionals
Series 8: Proposal for the classification of engineers
Series 9: Revised proposal for the classification of engineers
Series 1 - 10: Whole Series including summary and remarks
Cartoon Series 1: Mechanism of viscosity
Series 2: Mechanism of loss generation
Series 3: Commuter packer and enthalpy
Series 4: Skinny grasshopper and fat pupa
Series 5: From hand-drawn picture to ready-made clip art
Series 6: Why do you learn? - 1
Series 7: Why do you learn? - 2
Series 8: Two Sciences
Series 9: Scientist and Engineer
Series 10: Science and Non-science
Series 11: Structure of human relations
Series 12: Oriental subconsciousness
Nostalgia Series 1: The first own car
Series 2: The first driver's license
Series 3: Comparison of German and Japanese Diploma
Series 4: The first air travel
Series 5: Tachometer used 60 years ago
Series 6: The three sacred calculators
Series 7: The first home computer
Series 8: Sentimental journey to Nordkapp
Series 9: Change of photograph
Series 10: Story of passport
The others
Membership of Academic/Professional Societies
Curriculum Vitae
Recent Publications
The center of gravity of recent publications has been shifting from those with the topics in fluids engineering to those in engineering education. Please refer to Publications List of the recent papers written in English.